Thursday, September 8, 2011

Mind:  The Good Judgment Project

Prediction markets can harness the "wisdom of crowds" to solve problems, develop products, and make forecasts. These systems typically treat collective intelligence as a commodity to be mined, not a resource that can be grown and improved. That's about to change.?Starting in mid-2011, five teams will compete in a U.S.-government-sponsored forecasting tournament. Each team will develop its own tools for harnessing and improving collective intelligence and will be judged on how well its forecasters predict major trends and events around the world over the next four years.?The Good Judgment Team, based in the University of Pennsylvania and the University of California Berkeley, will be one of the five teams competing — and we'd like you to consider joining our team as a forecaster. If you're willing to experiment with ways to improve your forecasting ability and if being part of cutting-edge scientific research appeals to you, then we want your help.

In spite of the following, I was able to volunteer on September 4 and was accepted (so maybe you can, too).

As of August 22, 2011, we are recruiting "reservists" only. Those who pre-register now will be placed on a waiting list. When additional forecasters are needed, we will contact waiting-list pre-registrants in the order of sign up to fill the ranks of our forecasters.

For more, see The Good Judgment Project, September 7, 2011 at The Good Judgment Project.

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