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Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Politics: An Open Letter to Conservatives

I hated to post such a one-sided article as this, but it is such an extensive, substantiated list of complaints about Republican leaders' recent behavior that I had to. At least I can dream they'll return to reality (if I ignore Follow the Voters?).

Your party -- the GOP -- and the conservative end of the American political spectrum have become irresponsible and irrational. Worse, it's tolerating, promoting and celebrating prejudice and hatred. Let me provide some examples -- by no means an exhaustive list -- of where the Right as gotten itself stuck in a swamp of hypocrisy, hyperbole, historical inaccuracy and hatred.

See An open letter to conservatives by Russell King, March 22, 2010.

Sunday, March 28, 2010

Politics: Follow the Voters?

Plenty of things are hurting American democracy -- gridlock, negative campaigning, special interests -- but one factor lies at the root of all the others, and nobody dares to discuss it. American voters, who are hiring the people who'll run a superpower democracy, are grossly ignorant.
... by every measure social scientists have devised, voters are spectacularly uninformed. They don't follow politics, and they don't know how their government works. According to an August 2006 Zogby poll, only two in five Americans know that we have three branches of government and can name them. A 2006 National Geographic poll showed that six in 10 young people (ages 18 to 24) could not find Iraq on the map.
Just before the 2003 invasion of Iraq, after months of unsubtle hinting from Bush administration officials, some 60 percent of Americans had come to believe that Iraq was behind the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, despite the absence of evidence for the claim, according to a series of surveys taken by the PIPA/Knowledge Networks poll. A year later, after the bipartisan, independent 9/11 Commission reported that Saddam Hussein had had nothing to do with al-Qaida's assaults on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, 50 percent of Americans still insisted that he did. In other words, the public was bluntly given the data by a group of officials generally believed to be credible -- and it still didn't absorb the most basic facts about the most important event of their time.

See 5 myths about American voters by Rick Shenkman, October 1, 2008.

Healthcare: How the Bill Affects Various People

A good summary describing the healtcare bill's effect on various types of people is at Health care: How will you be affected by reform changes? by Kathy Brister, March 28, 2010

Science: Dark Flow -- What's Beyond the Edge of the Known Universe?

First came dark matter, the gravitational source from within our galaxy that astronomers couldn't see. Then came dark energy, the undetectable force pushing the expansion of the universe. Now, NASA scientists believe they have confirmed a new player, dubbed "dark flow," that is dragging hundreds of galaxies along the same path. Even stranger, the researchers believe that dark flow is actually the gravitational pull from matter beyond the edge of the known universe.

See New Evidence that Mysterious Dark Force From Outside Tugs at Our Universe by Stuart Fox, March 25, 2010, and New Proof Unknown "Structures" Tug at Our Universe by John Roach, March 22, 2010.

Saturday, March 27, 2010

Politics: Glenn Beck Tells The Administration Not to Kill Him

For those of you in the administration who are coming after me on this one ... thou shalt not kill at 0:50 in ...

See Beck Implies Obama to Kill Him by Ed Brayton, March 25, 2010.

Politics: Rage on the Right: The Year in Hate and Extremism

From the Southern Poverty Law Center ...

The anger seething across the American political landscape — over racial changes in the population, soaring public debt and the terrible economy, the bailouts of bankers and other elites, and an array of initiatives by the relatively liberal Obama Administration that are seen as "socialist" or even "fascist" — goes beyond the radical right. The "tea parties" and similar groups that have sprung up in recent months cannot fairly be considered extremist groups, but they are shot through with rich veins of radical ideas, conspiracy theories and racism.
As the movement has exploded, so has the reach of its ideas, aided and abetted by commentators and politicians in the ostensible mainstream. While in the 1990s, the movement got good reviews from a few lawmakers and talk-radio hosts, some of its central ideas today are being plugged by people with far larger audiences like FOX News’ Glenn Beck and U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn). Beck, for instance, re-popularized a key Patriot conspiracy theory — the charge that FEMA is secretly running concentration camps — before finally “debunking” it.

See Rage on the Right: The Year in Hate and Extremism by Mark Potok, Intelligence Report, Spring 2010.

Economics: Learning That People Are Not Automatons

Act I in this history [of economics] would be set in the era of economic scientism: the period when economists based their work on a crude vision of human nature (the perfectly rational, utility-maximizing autonomous individual) and then built elaborate models based on that creature.

...

In Act IV ... economists are taking baby steps into the world of emotion, social relationships, imagination, love and virtue.

See The Return of History by David Brooks, March 25, 2010.

Politics: Republicans Really, Really, Really Don't Like Obama

Majorities of Republicans believe that President Obama:
  • Is a socialist (67%)
  • Wants to take away Americans' right to own guns (61%)
  • Is a Muslim (57%)
  • Wants to turn over the sovereignty of the United States to a one world government (51%); and
  • Has done many things that are unconstitutional (55%).

Also large numbers of Republicans also believe that President Obama:

  • Resents America's heritage (47%)
  • Does what Wall Street and the bankers tell him to do (40%)
  • Was not born in the United States and so is not eligible to be president (45%)
  • Is the "domestic enemy that the U.S. Constitution speaks of" (45%)
  • Is a racist (42%)
  • Want to use an economic collapse or terrorist attack as an excuse to take dictatorial powers (41%)
  • Is doing many of the things that Hitler did (38%).

Even more remarkable perhaps, fully 24% of Republicans believe that "he may be the Anti-Christ" and 22% believe "he wants the terrorists to win."

Note these results may be less accurate than other polls due to it's semi-self-selected nature.

See "Wingnuts" and President Obama by Harris Interactive, March 24, 2010.

Science: A Star-Birthing Region

See Bending Gravity, Researchers Capture Star-Birthing Region 10 Billion Light Years Away by Clay Dillow, March 24, 2010.

Science: Nanotech Robots Deploy Cancer-Fighting RNA

Specially constructed molecules could potentially block the expression of genes critical to the reproduction of viruses and the spread of cancer. But until now, doctors had been unable to direct those molecules to the right cellular nuclei. Scientists from the California Institute of Technology solved this problem by placing the RNA molecules in a specialized polymer robot with a chemical sensor. When the environment of a cancerous cell triggered the chemical sensor, the robot releases the RNA.

See In First Successful Human Trial, Nanotech Robots Deploy Cancer-Fighting RNA by Stuart Fox, March 23, 2010.

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Security: Russia and U.S. Report Breakthrough on Arms

The new 10-year pact would replace the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty of 1991, or Start, which expired in December, and further extend cuts negotiated in 2002 by Mr. Bush in the Treaty of Moscow. Under the new pact, according to people briefed on it in Washington and Moscow, within seven years each side would have to cut its deployed strategic warheads to 1,550 from the 2,200 now allowed. Each side would cut the total number of launchers to 800 from 1,600 now permitted. The number of nuclear-armed missiles and heavy bombers would be capped at 700 each.
The breakthrough ended nearly a year of tumultuous negotiations that dragged on far longer than anticipated. The two sides quarreled over verifying compliance, sharing telemetry and limiting missile defense programs. Mr. Obama restructured Mr. Bush’s plans for an antimissile shield in Europe, but Moscow objected to the new version as well and wanted restrictions. Mr. Obama refused. The two presidents cut through disagreements during a telephone call on March 13.

See Russia and U.S. Report Breakthrough on Arms by Peter Baker and Ellen Barry, March 24, 2010

Politics: After Health Vote, Threats on Democrats

Democratic lawmakers have received death threats and been the victims of vandalism because of their votes in favor of the health care bill, lawmakers and law enforcement officials said Wednesday, as the Congressional debate over the issue headed toward a bitter and divisive conclusion.
Senate Democrats accused Republicans of delay tactics and of forcing the cancellation of unrelated committee sessions over anger about the health measure.

Senators Carl Levin of Michigan and Claire McCaskill of Missouri were furious that Republican objections prevented hearings Wednesday on the Pentagon budget and the training of Afghan police officers.

See After Health Vote, Threats on Democrats by Carl Hulse, March 24, 2010.

Mind: Why women now prefer Johnny Depp to Sean Connery

Historically women chose manly men because features such as a square jaw, low brow and thin lips were linked to superior genes which would produce stronger and healthier offspring.

But the choice came at a cost — as the more masculine the man, the less likely he was to help out nurturing his child.

"The results suggests that as health care improves, more masculine men fall out of favour," said the lead author and psychologist Dr Lisa DeBruine.

See Why women now prefer Johnny Depp to Sean Connery by The Telegraph, March 23, 2010.

Climate: Utility Giant, Texas Oil Companies Fight Back With California Voter Initiatives

Money counts:
An anti-tax group and a coalition of businesses quietly led by Texas oil companies have launched a signature drive for a November ballot initiative that would suspend California's pioneering law to combat global warming.

See Utility Giant, Texas Oil Companies Fight Back With California Voter Initiatives by Matt Coker, March 19, 2010.

Government: A Tea Party Without Nuts

The radical center is “radical” in its desire for a radical departure from politics as usual. It advocates: raising taxes to close our budgetary shortfalls, but doing so with a spirit of equity and social justice; guaranteeing that every American is covered by health insurance, but with market reforms to really bring down costs; legally expanding immigration to attract more job-creators to America’s shores; increasing corporate tax credits for research and lowering corporate taxes if companies will move more manufacturing jobs back onshore; investing more in our public schools, while insisting on rising national education standards and greater accountability for teachers, principals and parents; massively investing in clean energy, including nuclear, while allowing more offshore drilling in the transition.

See A Tea Party Without Nuts by Thomas L. Friedman, March 23, 2010.

Politics: Republican Healthcare Waterloo

But we do know that the gap between this plan and traditional Republican ideas is not very big. The Obama plan has a broad family resemblance to Mitt Romney’s Massachusetts plan. It builds on ideas developed at the Heritage Foundation in the early 1990s that formed the basis for Republican counter-proposals to Clintoncare in 1993-1994.
We followed the most radical voices in the party and the movement, and they led us to abject and irreversible defeat.

There were leaders who knew better, who would have liked to deal. But they were trapped. Conservative talkers on Fox and talk radio had whipped the Republican voting base into such a frenzy that deal-making was rendered impossible. How do you negotiate with somebody who wants to murder your grandmother? Or -- more exactly -- with somebody whom your voters have been persuaded to believe wants to murder their grandmother?

So today’s defeat for free-market economics and Republican values is a huge win for the conservative entertainment industry. Their listeners and viewers will now be even more enraged, even more frustrated, even more disappointed in everybody except the responsibility-free talkers on television and radio. For them, it’s mission accomplished. For the cause they purport to represent, it’s Waterloo all right: ours.

See Waterloo by David Frum, March 21st, 2010.

Healthcare: Health Care Overhaul: What Happens When

A good summary of what's coming, including ...
In 2010:

• Provides tax credits to small employers with no more than 25 workers and average annual wages of less than $50,000 if they purchase health insurance for employees.

• Establishes a temporary national high-risk pool to provide health coverage to individuals with preexisting medical conditions. Effective within 90 days of enactment.

• Requires that all individual and group policies offer dependent coverage for children up to age 26.

See Health Care Overhaul: What Happens When by Martha Lynn Craver, March 24, 2010.

Mind: Everybody Have Fun

It’s not just hitting the jackpot that fails to lift spirits; a whole range of activities that people tend to think will make them happy—getting a raise, moving to California, having kids—do not, it turns out, have that effect. (Studies have shown that women find caring for their children less pleasurable than napping or jogging and only slightly more satisfying than doing the dishes.) As the happiness researchers Tim Wilson and Daniel Gilbert have put it, “People routinely mispredict how much pleasure or displeasure future events will bring.”
Over the past three and a half decades, real per-capita income in the United States has risen from just over seventeen thousand dollars to almost twenty-seven thousand dollars. During that same period, the average new home in the U.S. grew in size by almost fifty per cent; the number of cars in the country increased by more than a hundred and twenty million; the proportion of families owning personal computers rose from zero to seventy per cent; and so on. Yet, since the early seventies, the percentage of Americans who describe themselves as either “very happy” or “pretty happy” has remained virtually unchanged.
If “rising incomes have failed to make Americans happier over the last fifty years,” he writes, “what is the point of working such long hours and risking environmental disaster in order to keep on doubling and redoubling our Gross Domestic Product?”
After scratching growth and income redistribution off his list, Bok goes on to discuss measures that, the evidence suggests, would increase aggregate happiness [job loss, chronic pain, depression, ...].
Two years ago, the President of France, Nicolas Sarkozy, appointed a commission to look into ways to improve the measurement of government performance. When the commission, headed by Amartya Sen and another Nobel Prize-winning economist, Joseph Stiglitz, issued its final report, last fall, it was critical of the current reliance on G.D.P., which, it argued, is a poor proxy for social progress: “For example, traffic jams may increase G.D.P. as a result of the increased use of gasoline, but obviously not the quality of life.”

See Everybody Have Fun by Elizabeth Kolbert, March 22, 2010.

Politics: The endangered RINO

For the first time in many years, there are appearances that California Republicans may actually be more concerned about that -- winning -- that [sic] insisting on ideological purity among their candidates. There doesn't seem to be much enthusiasm for decrying either Whitman or Campbell as "RINOs" -- Republicans in name only.

See The endangered RINO by Ventura County Star, March 13, 2010.

Healthcare: The health-care bill: A glorious mess

Obama's much-criticized strategy of pushing forward on health care despite the economic crisis had been rewarded with a historic victory. His tactic of letting Congress shape the legislation had been vindicated. His promise of change had been given new substance.

Even when the "fixes" that have to be approved by the Senate are made, the health-care bill will still be something of a mess. But it's a glorious mess, because it enshrines the principle that all Americans have the right to health care -- an extraordinary achievement that will make this a better nation.

It may take years to get the details right. The newly minted reforms are going to need to be reformed or at least fine-tuned, and those will not be easy battles.

See The health-care bill: A glorious mess by Eugene Robinson, March 23, 2010.

Science: For One Tiny Instant, Physicists May Have Broken a Law of Nature

Amazing science:

The team created something called a quark-gluon plasma — a kind of "soup" that results when energies reach high enough levels to break up protons and neutrons into their constituent quarks and gluons, the fundamental building blocks of matter.

Theorists believe this kind of quark-gluon plasma, which has a temperature of four trillion degrees Celsius, existed just after the Big Bang, when the universe was only a microsecond old. The plasma "bubble" created in the collisions at RHIC lasted for a mere millionth of a billionth of a billionth of a second, yet the team hopes to use it to learn more about how structure in the universe — from black holes to galaxies — may have formed out of the soup.

When the gold nuclei, traveling at 99.999% of the speed of light, smashed together, the plasma that resulted was so energetic that a tiny cube of it with sides measuring about a quarter of the width of a human hair would contain enough energy to power the entire United States for a year.

See For One Tiny Instant, Physicists May Have Broken a Law of Nature by Suzanne Taylor Muzzin, March 19, 2010

Politics: Obama the Drunk (Not)

Rush says:
Story #5: Doctors Tell the President to Cut His Alcohol Intake

RUSH: And, by the way, there's only one place I've seen this story. We have the health report on Obama, his first checkup since being elected president, and the news is all about, "Well, he's gotta moderate his nicotine intake and is using nicotine replacement therapy," which is either a patch or gum or whatever. (interruption) He uses the gum? Okay. Nobody really expected that he was going to quit smoking. But here in the UK Guardian, check the last line of this story. "The doctors also recommended moderation of alcohol intake." What? Now they tell us! "Doctors recommended moderation of alcohol intake"? Whoa. I had never seen that report about any president's checkup. Moderate his alcohol intake.

From Stack of Stuff Quick Hits Page on RushLimbaugh.com, March 1, 2010

But the actual report says:

Continue smoking cessation efforts, a daily exercise program, healthy diet, moderation in alcohol intake, periodic dental care, and remain up-to-date with recommended immunizations.

See The President's First Peiodic Physical Exam as President by Capt Jeffrey Kuhlman, February 28, 2010.

Norway: We Die Alone

An amazing story of survival ...
In 1943, Baalsrud was a young instrument maker who was asked to sneak back into Norway to help the anti-Nazi resistance.

For the rest, see The Hard and the Soft by David Brooks, March 1, 2010.

Climate: U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend

Rush said:
Story #14: NY Times in 1989: No Warming In US Since 1895

RUSH: There is a piece that we dug up: January 26th, 1989, New York Times. Headline: "US Data Since 1895 Fail to Show Warming Trend." So in 1989 the New York Times ran a story saying that using data, US data since 1895 "failed to show" any warming.

See Stack of Stuff Quick Hits Page by RushLimbaugh.com, March 1, 2010,

The 21 year old story also said:

Readings taken by other scientists have suggested a significant warming worldwide over the last 100 years.

See U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend, Philip Shabecoff, January 26, 1989.

Healthcare: Healthcare Costs Around the World

For the rest, see Healthcare Costs Around the World, March 1, 2010.

Politics: Democrats' Ambitious Legislative Agenda Pushes K Street Salaries Skyward

Lobbyists for healthcare, energy and financial interests had a banner year in 2009, with the average payout for each reaching as high as $177,000.
Healthcare clients spent the most overall on lobbying at $544 million, which was roughly $60 million more than in 2008. But there were more lobbyists (3,405) on healthcare issues than on either energy (2,311) or financial legislation (2,654).

See Democrats' ambitious legislative agenda pushes K Street salaries skyward by Silla Brush, February 23, 2010.

Government: The Public Online Information Act

Good idea or great idea?
The Public Online Information Act (POIA) is legislation, introduced by Rep. Steve Israel, that embraces a new formula for transparency: public equals online. No longer will antiquated government disclosure practices bury public information in out-of-the-way offices and in outmoded formats.

POIA requires Executive Branch agencies to publish all publicly available information on the Internet in a timely fashion and in user-friendly formats. It also creates an advisory committee to help develop government-wide Internet publication policies.

See The Public Online Information Act by Sunlight Foundation, March, 2010.

Economics: Consumer Protection Agency

There’s no question that consumers need much better protection. The late Edward Gramlich — a Federal Reserve official who tried in vain to get Alan Greenspan to act against predatory lending — summarized the case perfectly back in 2007: “Why are the most risky loan products sold to the least sophisticated borrowers? The question answers itself — the least sophisticated borrowers are probably duped into taking these products.”

See Financial Reform Endgame by Paul Krugman, February 28, 2010.

Humor: Wrong About Everything?

From The Wall Street Journal, February 16, 2010.

Politics: Starve the Beast

For readers who don't know what I'm talking about: ever since Reagan, the G.O.P. has been run by people who want a much smaller government. In the famous words of the activist Grover Norquist, conservatives want to get the government down to the size where we can drown it in the bathtub.

But there has always been a political problem with this agenda. Voters may say that they oppose big government, but the programs that actually dominate federal spending -- Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security -- are very popular. So how can the public be persuaded to accept large spending cuts?

See The Bankruptcy Boys by Paul Krugman, February 21, 2010.

Healthcare: Afflicting the Afflicted

Look at the Congressional Budget Office analysis of the House G.O.P. plan. That analysis is discreetly worded, with the budget office declaring somewhat obscurely that while the number of uninsured Americans wouldn’t change much, “the pool of people without health insurance would end up being less healthy, on average, than under current law.” But here’s the translation: While some people would gain insurance, the people losing insurance would be those who need it most. Under the Republican plan, the American health care system would become even more brutal than it is now.

See Afflicting the Afflicted by Paul Krugman, February 25, 2010.

Climate: We Can’t Wish Away Climate Change

About flaws in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report ...
It is true that the climate panel published a flawed overestimate of the melting rate of debris-covered glaciers in the Himalayas, and used information about the Netherlands provided to it by the government, which was later found to be partly inaccurate. In addition, e-mail messages stolen from the University of East Anglia in Britain showed that scientists besieged by an onslaught of hostile, make-work demands from climate skeptics may not have adequately followed the requirements of the British freedom of information law.

But the scientific enterprise will never be completely free of mistakes. What is important is that the overwhelming consensus on global warming remains unchanged. It is also worth noting that the panel’s scientists — acting in good faith on the best information then available to them — probably underestimated the range of sea-level rise in this century, the speed with which the Arctic ice cap is disappearing and the speed with which some of the large glacial flows in Antarctica and Greenland are melting and racing to the sea.

See We Can’t Wish Away Climate Change by Al Gore, February 27, 2010.

Healthcare: Remembering the 1993 Republican Bill

The proposal President Barack Obama unveiled on Monday is based largely on the bill passed by the Democratic Senate on Dec. 24, 2009 .... It has some similarities to a GOP proposal sponsored by Sen. John Chafee, R-R.I., during the Clinton presidency.

This chart compares those two bills with the Nov. 3, 2009 proposal from House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio....

See Chart: Comparing Health Reform Bills: Democrats and Republicans 2009, Republicans 1993 by Maggie Mertens, Feb 24, 2010. Thank you, Obama Health Proposal = 1993 Republican Proposal by Ed Brayton, March 1, 2010.

Politics: Populism and Sarah Palin

Sarah Palin, who with 17 months remaining in her single term as Alaska's governor quit the only serious office she has ever held, is obsessively discussed as a possible candidate in 2012. Why? She is not going to be president and will not be the Republican nominee unless the party wants to lose at least 44 states.
She also showed that grit is no substitute for seasoning. She has been subjected to such irrational vituperation -- loathing largely born of snobbery -- she can be forgiven for seeking the balm of adulation from friendly audiences.
Populism has had as many incarnations as it has had provocations, but its constant ingredient has been resentment, and hence whininess. Populism does not wax in tranquil times; it is a cathartic response to serious problems. But it always wanes because it never seems serious as a solution.

See Mutual Loathing Society by George Will, February 18, 2010.

Climate: Can we trust the IPCC on the big stuff?

About flaws in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report ...
We focus on three key topics: the impact of climate change on water supplies, food, and biodiversity. The investigation reveals that the IPCC's broad conclusions were sound. Indeed, the stringent rules of the IPCC means the report sometimes understated the potential impacts of climate change - on biodiversity, for instance.

But our findings suggest there may have been problems with the way its conclusions were presented. It was too easy for some numbers mentioned in passing in academic papers to find their way into public presentations of IPCC reports without sufficiently rigorous assessment.

See Can we trust the IPCC on the big stuff? by Fred Pearce, February 24, 2010.

Mind: We Believe What We Are Predisposed To Believe

It doesn't matter whether you show [people] negative or positive information, they reject the information that is contrary to what they would like to believe, and they glom onto the positive information, ....
Kahan says people test new information against their preexisting view of how the world should work. "If the implication, the outcome, can affirm your values, you think about it in a much more open-minded way," he says. And if the information doesn't, you tend to reject it.

See Belief In Climate Change Hinges On Worldview by Christopher Joyce, February 23, 2010.

Politics: Our Leadership Problems

First, the meritocracy is based on an overly narrow definition of talent. Our system rewards those who can amass technical knowledge. But this skill is only marginally related to the skill of being sensitive to context. It is not related at all to skills like empathy. Over the past years, we've seen very smart people make mistakes because they didn't understand the context in which they were operating.

See The Power Elite by David Brooks, February 18, 2010.

Humor: Dirty Harry

See xkcd.com.

Economics: An In-Depth Look at the Federal Budget

An In-Depth Look at the Federal Budget by Hale "Bonddad" Stewart, February 21, 2010, has some excellent charts which show Federal government spending over time, such as:

Also see Budget and Economic Information.

Mind: Counting Can Be Tough

... a new University of Waterloo research study shows that anxiety about mathematics can adversely affect tasks as simple as basic counting.

See New Waterloo study shows math anxiety hinders basic counting, 2/17/2010 and Science: Math Anxiety Affects Skills As Basic As Counting, 2/20/2010.

Politics: Rush Resurrects Hitler-Obama Comparisons

LIMBAUGH: Talking about the "Big Lie" -- from his 1925 autobiography, Mein Kampf, the "Big Lie" was an expression coined by Hitler. And the "Big Lie" is exactly what all of liberalism is. The "Big Lie" is exactly what all of Marxism is, or socialism is, or communism is.

For a lot more of Rush, see Citing Mein Kampf, Limbaugh Calls Obama's Comments On The Stimulus "The Big Lie", February 17, 2010.

Economics: Clintonomics

From Jan. 20, 1993, to Jan. 20, 2001, the Clinton years, the number of private-sector jobs in the United States grew to 111,634,000 from 90,820,000.
From Jan. 20, 2001, to Jan. 20, 2009, the Bush [43] years, private-sector jobs in the United States actually fell to 110,961,000 from 111,634,000.
More private-sector jobs were created during the eight Clinton years than had been created during the 12 preceding presidential years of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush [41].
During Bush [43]'s two terms of tax cuts and spending sprees, the $236 billion budget surplus he inherited exploded into a budget deficit of $1.414 trillion!
When Clinton left the White House, China held $73.8 billion in U.S. government debt. By the time Bush [43] exited, China's holdings had increased more than tenfold to $746.3 billion.

See A Look Back at Presidential Records by Mark Shields, February 20, 2010.

Healthcare: Why Health Insurance Is Increasing 39%

Paul Krugman explains why some individual health insurance policies in California are rising 39% this year in California Death Spiral, February 18, 2010.

Politics: Poll Reveals Most Americans Don't Know They Got a Tax Cut

Here's the poll question: "In general, do you think the Obama Administration has increased taxes for most Americans, decreased taxes for most Americans or have they kept taxes the same for most Americans?"

Most people answered:

But:

Of people who support the grassroots, "Tea Party" movement, only 2 percent think taxes have been decreased, 46 percent say taxes are the same, and a whopping 44 percent say they believe taxes have gone up.

This is why politicians prefer to mail a physical check instead of simply reducing tax withholding.

See Poll Reveals Most Americans Don't Know They Got a Tax Cut, February 12, 2010.

Security: The Underwear Bomber And The Attorney General

Holder, despite the controversy he has inspired, has not actually pushed for radical change. Indeed, critics in left-leaning legal circles have complained that he has kept too many of George W. Bush's counterterrorism policies in place. For example, Holder's Justice Department has continued blocking lawsuits by people who were subjected to extraordinary rendition--the practice of sending suspected terrorists captured abroad to countries known for administering torture--on the ground that such litigation would expose state secrets. Even some former members of the Bush Administration see more continuity than change. Bradford Berenson, who served as a White House lawyer when the Bush Administration was forging its controversial legal approach to terrorism, told me that from the perspective of a hawkish Bush national-security person the glass is eighty-five per cent full in terms of continuity.

For all the tough rhetoric of the Bush Administration, it prosecuted many more terror suspects as criminals than as enemy combatants. According to statistics compiled by New York University's Center on Law and Security, since 2001 the criminal courts have convicted some hundred and fifty suspects on terrorism charges. Only three detainees--all of whom were apprehended abroad--were convicted in military commissions at Guantánamo.

See The Trial: Eric Holder and the battle over Khalid Sheikh Mohammed by Jane Mayer, February 15, 2010.

Humor: Semicontrolled Demolition

See xkcd.com

Politics: Don't Steal from Medicare to Support Socialized Medicine

See 30 Unintentionally Hilarious Political Signs by Michael Jordan, February 10, 2010.

Mind: Our Politics May Be All in Our Head

Researchers have found ... that some humans are particularly alert to threats, particularly primed to feel vulnerable and perceive danger. Those people are more likely to be conservatives.

One experiment used electrodes to measure the startle blink reflex, the way we flinch and blink when startled by a possible danger. A flash of noise was unexpectedly broadcast into the research subjects’ earphones, and the response was measured.

The researchers ... found that those who had a stronger blink reflex at the noise were more likely to take such conservative positions as favoring gun rights, supporting warrantless searches, and opposing foreign aid.

Scholars also measured changes in the electrical conductance of research subjects’ skin, after they were shown images meant to trigger disgust — like a person eating a mouthful of worms....

Liberals released only slightly more moisture in reaction to disgusting images than to photos of fruit. But conservatives’ glands went into overdrive.

[There is] a remarkably strong correlation between state attitudes toward spanking children and voting patterns. Essentially, spanking states go Republican, while those with more timeouts go Democratic.

Professors Hetherington and Weiler contend that the differences stem from profound differences in cognitive styles. Spankers tend to see the world in stark, black-and-white terms, perceive the social order as vulnerable or under attack, tend to make strong distinctions between “us” and “them,” and emphasize order and muscular responses to threats. Parents favoring timeouts feel more comfortable with ambiguities, sense less threat, embrace minority groups — and are less prone to disgust when they see a man eating worms.

See Our Politics May Be All in Our Head by Nicholas D. Kristof, February 14, 2010.

Education: In Utah, a plan to cut 12th grade

A new idea to cut costs ...

The proposal by state Sen. Chris Buttars would chip away at Utah's $700-million shortfall. He's since offered a toned-down version: Just make senior year optional.
The notion quickly gained some traction among supporters who agreed with the Republican's assessment that many seniors frittered away their final year of high school, but faced vehement opposition from other quarters, including in his hometown of West Jordan.

Buttars has since toned down the idea, suggesting instead that senior year become optional for students who complete their required credits early. He estimated the move could save up to $60 million, the Salt Lake Tribune reported.

See In Utah, a plan to cut 12th grade, February 15, 2010.

Mind: Damaged Brains Escape the Material World

Increased feelings of transcendence can follow brain damage, a study of people with brain cancer suggests.

As feelings of transcending the physical world can be part of some religious experiences and other forms of spirituality, the finding may help explain why some people seem more prone to such experiences than others.

In particular, the researchers were interested in a personality trait known as self-transcendence.

People score highly for this trait if they answer "yes" to questions such as: "I often feel so connected to the people around me that I feel like there is no separation"; "I feel so connected to nature that everything feels like one single organism"; and "I got lost in the moment and detached from time". The same people also tend to believe in miracles, extrasensory perception and other non-material phenomena.

See Damaged brains escape the material world by Ewen Callaway, February 11, 2010.

Politics: What Jesus Would Do

See 30 Unintentionally Hilarious Political Signs, February 10, 2010.

Healthcare: Healthcare Strategy

A possible GOP healthcare strategy is described at GOP'S HEALTHCARE MOMENT by Dick Morris, February 10, 2010.

Economics: The Federal Budget

Income taxes don't even cover discretionary spending!

Discretionary spending in fiscal year 2009 was $1,219 billion, of which $782 billion is for "security" while income taxes were "only" $1,053 billion, of which $915 billion come from individuals. Mandatory programs such as medicare cost $2,112 billion and interest is $187 billion.

See table S-3 of Summary Tables in The President'S Budget for Fiscal Year 2011 by The Office of Management and Budget, February 2, 2010.

Humor: G-Spot

See xkcd.com.

Politics: Utah's Legislature on Climate Change

NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the Legislature of the state of Utah urges the United States Environmental Protection Agency to immediately halt its carbon dioxide reduction policies and programs and withdraw its "Endangerment Finding" and related regulations until a full and independent investigation of climate data and global warming science can be substantiated.

See Climate Change Joint Resolution, February 9, 2010.

Photo: Sandy, Salty Swirls

The Tanezrouft Basin in Algeria ...

See Sandy, Salty Swirls. by Amina Elahi, February 11, 2010.

Politics: Washington Post-ABC News Poll

People don't seem to think the government is doing a great job ...

28. On another subject, out of every dollar the federal government collects in taxes, how many cents do you think are wasted?
                     Average
        2/8/10       53 cents
        4/9/06       51
        4/14/02      47
        4/16/00      46
        1/7/98       56
        1/29/95      51
        8/8/93       47
        2/28/93      46
        10/21/91     49
        9/30/90      44
        5/21/90      46
        7/29/85      43

See the Washington Post-ABC News poll, February 4-8, 2010.

Healthcare: The six Republican ideas already in the health-care reform bill

See The six Republican ideas already in the health-care reform bill by Ezra Klein, February 8, 2010.

Economics: Dick Morris: Doubled Deficit

The claim that Obama almost doubled Bush's deficit is explained in Behind Obama's Phony Deficit Numbers, February 1, 2010.

Economics: Spending vs GDP by President

For the rest, see Presidential Spending: Expenditures by Year, February, 2010.

Santa Barbara: Mission Interior in 3D

Mission Sanctuary in 3D by Bill Heller, February, 2010, shows is the beautiful sanctuary at the Mission Santa Barbara.

Humor: Abstraction

See xkcd.com

Mind: Powerful Lies

Most people become stressed when lying, but new research shows that people with power feel just fine when lying — and are better at getting away with it.
Carney emphasizes that these results don’t mean that all people in high positions find lying easier: people need only feel powerful, regardless of the real power they have or their position in a hierarchy. “There are plenty of CEOs who act like low-power people and there are plenty of people at every level in organizations who feel very high power,” Carney says. “It can cross rank, every strata of society, any job.”

See Powerful Lies by Columbia Business School, January 22, 2010

Economics: Where Is America's Debt?

VE-AMERICAS DEBT

For the rest, see Visual Economics, January, 2010.

Climate: Warmest Decade

2009 was tied for the second warmest year in the modern record, a new NASA analysis of global surface temperature shows. The analysis, conducted by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York City, also shows that in the Southern Hemisphere, 2009 was the warmest year since modern records began in 1880.

Although 2008 was the coolest year of the decade, due to strong cooling of the tropical Pacific Ocean, 2009 saw a return to near-record global temperatures. The past year was only a fraction of a degree cooler than 2005, the warmest year on record, and tied with a cluster of other years — 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006 and 2007 1998 and 2007 — as the second warmest year since recordkeeping began.

January 2000 to December 2009 was the warmest decade on record.

See 2009: Second Warmest Year on Record; End of Warmest Decade by Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Jan 21, 2010.

Economics: State of the 40-Hour WorkWeek

ve-workweek

See The State of the 40-Hour Workweek, December, 2009.

Mind: Social Cognitive Neuroscience

One of the studies at the "Social and Affective Neuroscience Society" conference:
Keely Muscatell, one of his doctoral students, and others presented a study in which they showed people from various social strata some images of menacing faces. People whose parents had low social status exhibited more activation in the amygdala (the busy little part of the brain involved in fear and emotion) than people from high-status families.

About all:

Many of the studies presented here concerned the way we divide people by in-group and out-group categories in as little as 170 milliseconds. The anterior cingulate cortices in American and Chinese brains activate when people see members of their own group endure pain, but they do so at much lower levels when they see members of another group enduring it. These effects may form the basis of prejudice.

But a study by Saaid A. Mendoza and David M. Amodio of New York University showed that if you give people a strategy, such as reminding them to be racially fair, it is possible to counteract those perceptions. People feel disgust toward dehumanized groups, but a study by Claire Hoogendoorn, Elizabeth Phelps and others at N.Y.U. suggests it is possible to lower disgust and the accompanying insula activity through cognitive behavioral therapy.

See The Young and the Neuro by David Brooks, October 12, 2009.

Mind: How Nonsense Sharpens the Intellect

Researchers have long known that people cling to their personal biases more tightly when feeling threatened. After thinking about their own inevitable death, they become more patriotic, more religious and less tolerant of outsiders, studies find. When insulted, they profess more loyalty to friends — and when told they’ve done poorly on a trivia test, they even identify more strongly with their school’s winning teams.

See How Nonsense Sharpens the Intellect by Benedict Carey, October 5, 2009.

Humor: Natural Parenting

See xkcd.com.

Healthcare: The Affordable Health Care for America Act

The Congressional Budget Office said about the "Affordable Health Care for America Act" proposed by the Republican House minority leader on November 3, 2009 ...
By 2019, CBO and JCT estimate, the number of nonelderly people without health insurance would be reduced by about 3 million relative to current law, leaving about 52 million nonelderly residents uninsured. The share of legal nonelderly residents with insurance coverage in 2019 would be about 83 percent, roughly in line with the current share."

... some provisions of the legislation would tend to decrease the premiums paid by all insurance enrollees, while other provisions would tend to increase the premiums paid by less healthy enrollees ...

See the letter to John A. Boehner by Douglas W. Elmendorf, November 4, 2009

Healthcare: The CBO on Malpractice Tort Reform

The Congressional Budget Office said ...
National implementation of a package of proposals similar to the preceding list would reduce total national premiums for medical liability insurance by about 10 percent, CBO now estimates.

CBO estimates that the direct costs that providers will incur in 2009 for medical malpractice liability--which consist of malpractice insurance premiums together with settlements, awards, and administrative costs not covered by insurance--will total approximately $35 billion, or about 2 percent of total health care expenditures.

Because medical malpractice laws exist to allow patients to sue for damages that result from negligent health care, imposing limits on that right might be expected to have a negative impact on health outcomes. There is less evidence about the effects of tort reform on people's health, however, than about its effects on health care spending--because many studies of malpractice costs do not examine health outcomes. Some recent research has found that tort reform may adversely affect such outcomes, but other studies have concluded otherwise.

See the report to Honorable Orrin G. Hatch by the Douglas W. Elmendorf, October 9, 2009.

Healthcare: Medical Malpractice System Breeds More Waste

The fear of lawsuits among doctors does seem to lead to a noticeable amount of wasteful treatment. Amitabh Chandra -- a Harvard economist whose research is cited by both the American Medical Association and the trial lawyers' association -- says $60 billion a year, or about 3 percent of overall medical spending, is a reasonable upper-end estimate.
All told, jury awards, settlements and administrative costs -- which, by definition, are similar to the combined cost of insurance -- add up to less than $10 billion a year. This equals less than one-half of a percentage point of medical spending.
If you talk to doctors about malpractice, you come to realize that the root of their objections isn't financial. ... the malpractice system does affect the morale of doctors. It leaves them wondering when they will be publicly accused of doing the very thing they've sworn not to do: harm patients.

See Medical Malpractice System Breeds More Waste by David LeonhardT, September 22, 2009.

Healthcare: Medical Errors

Between 44,000 and 98,000 patients die each year from medical errors, the administration says.

See To Err is Human: Building A Safer Health System by The Institute Of Medicine, November 1, 1999, and White House Ponders Malpractice Liability by Katharine Q. Seely, September 17, 2009.

Law: False Confessions

In about 25% of DNA exoneration cases, innocent defendants made incriminating statements, delivered outright confessions or pled guilty.

See False Confessions by the Innocence Project.

Healthcare: Preventable Medical Errors and Infections

Preventable medical mistakes and infections are responsible for about 200,000 deaths in the U.S. each year, according to an investigation by the Hearst media corporation.

See Deaths from avoidable medical error more than double in past decade, investigation shows by Katherine Harmon, August 10, 2009.

Every year approximately 200,000 Americans die from preventable medical errors and healthcare-associated infections as tools to fight these needless deaths go unused at many hospitals.
Experts estimate that a staggering 98,000 people die from preventable medical errors each year. More Americans die each month of preventable medical injuries than died in the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. In addition, a federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention study concluded that 99,000 patients a year succumb to hospital-acquired infections. Almost all of those deaths, experts say, also are preventable.

See Within health care hides massive, avoidable death toll by Cathleen F. Crowley and Eric NaldeR, August 10, 2009.

Politics: Lobbying Costs in 2Q2009

Does Big Labor still exist?

Labor spent $10.6 million, 1.3% of the $825.3 million spent on all Federal lobbying. Chevron Corp., ConocoPhillips, BP PLC and other oil-and-gas companies spent $37.7 million, and drug manufacturers spent $68 million.

See Drug, Energy Firms Buck Lobbying Decline by Brody Mullins and T.W. Farnam, August 3, 2009.

Religion: Codex Sinaiticus Bible

The world's oldest known Christian Bible goes online Monday -- but the 1,600-year-old text doesn't match the one you'll find in churches today.

Discovered in a monastery in the Sinai desert in Egypt more than 160 years ago, the handwritten Codex Sinaiticus includes two books that are not part of the official New Testament and at least seven books that are not in the Old Testament.

The New Testament books are in a different order, and include numerous handwritten corrections -- some made as much as 800 years after the texts were written, according to scholars who worked on the project of putting the Bible online. The changes range from the alteration of a single letter to the insertion of whole sentences.

And some familiar -- very important -- passages are missing, including verses dealing with the resurrection of Jesus, they said.

Juan Garces, the British Library project curator, said it should be no surprise that the ancient text is not quite the same as the modern one, since the Bible has developed and changed over the years.

See Oldest known Bible goes online by Richard Allen Greene, July 6, 2009.

Security: Trying the Underwear Bomber

Bush's Justice Department crowing about it's success with civilian trials of terrorism suspects ...
Since 2001, the Department has increased its capacity to investigate terrorism and has identified, disrupted, and dismantled terrorist cells operating in the United States. These efforts have resulted in the securing of 319 convictions or guilty pleas in terrorism or terrorism-related cases arising from investigations conducted primarily after September 11, 2001, and zero terrorist attacks on American soil by foreign nationals from 2003 through 2007.

See the 2009 Summary of Request and Key Performance Measures by Strategic Goal, Fall, 2008.

Religion: Templeton Foundation Study of Intercessory Prayer

Prayers offered by strangers had no effect on the recovery of people who were undergoing heart surgery, a large and long-awaited study has found.

And patients who knew they were being prayed for had a higher rate of post-operative complications like abnormal heart rhythms, perhaps because of the expectations the prayers created, the researchers suggested.

The study cost $2.4 million, and most of the money came from the John Templeton Foundation, which supports research into spirituality. The government has spent more than $2.3 million on prayer research since 2000.
Dean Marek, a chaplain at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn., and a co-author of the report, said the study said nothing about the power of personal prayer or about prayers for family members and friends.

See Long-Awaited Medical Study Questions the Power of Prayer by Benedict Carey, March 31, 2006.

Climate: Bush White House Report Backs Climate Change Warnings

President Bush's top science advisors issued a comprehensive report Thursday that for the first time endorses what most scientific experts have long asserted: that greenhouse gases from fossil fuel combustion "are very likely the single largest cause" of Earth's warming.

See The Pew Charitable Trusts, May 30, 2008, and the report itself, May 29, 2008.

Economics: Federal Tax Brackets

  1992   1993 -
2000
  2001  2002  2003 -
2010
  2011
?
15% 15% 15% 10% 10% 10%
15% 15% 15%
28% 28% 27.5% 27% 25% 25%
31% 31% 30.5% 30% 28% 28%
36% 35.5% 35% 33% 36%
39.6% 39.1% 38.6% 35% 39.6%

See Federal Tax Brackets by MoneyChimp.com, early 2009.

Mind: Conservatives & Liberals -- M's & W's

Previous psychological studies have found that conservatives tend to be more structured and persistent in their judgments whereas liberals are more open to new experiences. The latest study found those traits are not confined to political situations but also influence everyday decisions.
Participants ... were instructed to tap a keyboard when an M appeared on a computer monitor and to refrain from tapping when they saw a W. M appeared four times more frequently than W, conditioning participants to press a key in knee-jerk fashion whenever they saw a letter.

Each participant was wired to an electroencephalograph that recorded activity in the anterior cingulate cortex, the part of the brain that detects conflicts between a habitual tendency (pressing a key) and a more appropriate response (not pressing the key). Liberals had more brain activity and made fewer mistakes than conservatives when they saw a W, researchers said. Liberals and conservatives were equally accurate in recognizing M.

Analyzing the data, Sulloway said liberals were 4.9 times as likely as conservatives to show activity in the brain circuits that deal with conflicts, and 2.2 times as likely to score in the top half of the distribution for accuracy.

See Study finds left-wing brain, right-wing brain by Denise Gellene, September 10, 2007 and Brains of Liberals, Conservatives May Work Differently by Psych Central News Editor, reviewed by John M. Grohol, December 20, 2007.

Healthcare: The Medical Malpractice Myth

One study ...

found that doctors were injuring one out of every 25 patients--and that only 4 percent of these injured patients sued.

Another study ...

found that more than 90 percent of the claims showed evidence of medical injury, which means they weren't frivolous. In 60 percent of these cases, the injury resulted from physician wrongdoing. In a quarter of the claims, the patient died.
When baseless medical malpractice suits were brought, the study further found, the courts efficiently threw them out. Only six of the cases in which the researchers couldn't detect injury received even token compensation. Of those in which an injury resulted from treatment, but evidence of error was uncertain, 145 out of 515 received compensation. Indeed, a bigger problem was that 236 cases were thrown out of court despite evidence of injury and error to patients by physicians. The other approximately 1,050 cases, in the research team's opinion, were decided correctly, with damage awards going to the injured and dismissal foiling the frivolous suits.

See The Medical Malpractice Myth by Ezra Klein, July 11, 2006.